Search found 4 matches

by Simon_Jester23
Sat Oct 05, 2013 8:59 pm UTC
Forum: What If?
Topic: What-If 0065: "Twitter Timeline Height"
Replies: 99
Views: 20821

Re: What-If 0065: "Twitter Timeline Height"

Well, the trick is that you get very different results from applying the assumption of mediocrity to "this randomly chosen person is probably part of the middle of the set of all humans that exist" and saying "this randomly chosen year is probably part of the middle of the set of all ...
by Simon_Jester23
Fri Oct 04, 2013 10:03 am UTC
Forum: Individual XKCD Comic Threads
Topic: 1273: "Tall Infographics"
Replies: 55
Views: 14277

Re: 1273: "Tall Infographics"

An infographic by a properly trained number-cruncher can be a very good thing; the problem is the sheer number of people who are statistically semi-literate but like to present their information in the form of graphs anyway.
by Simon_Jester23
Thu Oct 03, 2013 8:14 pm UTC
Forum: What If?
Topic: What-If 0065: "Twitter Timeline Height"
Replies: 99
Views: 20821

Re: What-If 0065: "Twitter Timeline Height"

On the one hand, that was a specific European Christian thing, "end times" mythology being a much larger part of Christianity than of most other religions. On the global scale it was little more than a blip. On the other hand, you do have a seriously good point- but I don't think it strong...
by Simon_Jester23
Thu Oct 03, 2013 12:56 am UTC
Forum: What If?
Topic: What-If 0065: "Twitter Timeline Height"
Replies: 99
Views: 20821

Re: What-If 0065: "Twitter Timeline Height"

I think the problem with the Doomsday Argument is that saying "assume you are a random sample (size=1) of humanity" is itself a pretty significant assumption. To take the German Tank Problem as an example, imagine you're a small nation invaded by the Wehrmacht. Your army collapses under th...

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