Search found 463 matches

by Arrian
Fri Nov 22, 2013 2:43 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Filibusters Eliminated on most Nominations in US Senate
Replies: 53
Views: 8262

Re: Filibusters Eliminated on most Nominations in US Senate

That is not what happened. Recently a nominee for the US District Court in Washington DC was delayed for 17 months. When his name came up for a vote, all senators present voted for the fellow. There was no objection to the man. There was an objection to President Obama making an appointment. Well, ...
by Arrian
Tue Oct 08, 2013 5:45 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Lord Sugar accused of racist tweet.
Replies: 87
Views: 14465

Re: Lord Sugar accused of racist tweet.

It's taking a picture of an unhappy kid and saying he's unhappy because of child labor. Nevermind that there are a ton of kids in China, most of whom are not working in a Foxconn factory, and nevermind that this kid is obviously not a child laborer. He's Chinese and unhappy, so obviously child labo...
by Arrian
Mon Aug 26, 2013 7:38 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: How should prisoners be counted in employment rates?
Replies: 25
Views: 10522

Re: How should prisoners be counted in employment rates?

It depends on what you are using the numbers for; if you are using it to drive economic policy, including the prison population is kind of pointless. That's what I'm trying to understand. Why wouldn't all people who would like jobs but don't have them be included? A couple of reasons: 1.) Prisoners...
by Arrian
Tue Jul 23, 2013 4:16 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: The Kunsthal Heist comes to a Very Bad End
Replies: 102
Views: 21193

Re: The Kunsthal Heist comes to a Very Bad End

I always wondered, if the forgers are that talented, why don't they have a career creating their own work? My guess is that demand and price for artwork is driven by factors beyond simple quality: Many people who spend tremendous amounts of money on art do so because it increases their status. They...
by Arrian
Wed May 08, 2013 2:08 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Texas Fertilizer Plant Fire/Explosion
Replies: 61
Views: 8383

Re: Texas Fertilizer Plant Fire/Explosion

Maybe. People died, though. Criminal negligence and other charges do exist. Absolutely, I agree with that. But there's been a lot of talk lately with people asking "Why doesn't xxx go to jail for <some complete dick move that isn't criminal>?" That's why I quoted the comment regarding the...
by Arrian
Tue May 07, 2013 1:40 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Texas Fertilizer Plant Fire/Explosion
Replies: 61
Views: 8383

Re: Texas Fertilizer Plant Fire/Explosion

Sounds like some executives will need to go to prison. What law are you proposing they broke by carrying only $1 million in liability insurance? Or do you just want to put them in jail because they were jackasses? The law that if you blow up an apartment complex, you have to pay for it? "You b...
by Arrian
Mon May 06, 2013 4:41 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Texas Fertilizer Plant Fire/Explosion
Replies: 61
Views: 8383

Re: Texas Fertilizer Plant Fire/Explosion

Роберт wrote:Sounds like some executives will need to go to prison.


What law are you proposing they broke by carrying only $1 million in liability insurance? Or do you just want to put them in jail because they were jackasses?
by Arrian
Wed May 01, 2013 8:08 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Bombing at Boston Marathon Finish Line.
Replies: 721
Views: 109707

Re: Bombing at Boston Marathon Finish Line.

Three more people were apparently just arrested in connection with the bombings. [edit] NBC is suggesting that they may be some of one of the bomber's roommates who were removing items from his dorm, and the charges will likely be obstruction of justice. According to Popehat, they were three of Dzh...
by Arrian
Fri Apr 19, 2013 4:35 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Bombing at Boston Marathon Finish Line.
Replies: 721
Views: 109707

Re: Bombing at Boston Marathon Finish Line.

WCVB television reporters are requesting to bring bullet proof vests and helmets to a news conference? Are they going to try to make it look like they're reporting from a combat zone/gunfight?
by Arrian
Fri Apr 19, 2013 2:56 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Bombing at Boston Marathon Finish Line.
Replies: 721
Views: 109707

Re: Bombing at Boston Marathon Finish Line.

This whole thing has gone to another level of "unreal". How well are police trained for things like this? This is a manhunt and manhunts are a police thing. This is the kind of situation police have worked with since forever (minus the bombs, probably, but I'm sure that training has inclu...
by Arrian
Sat Apr 13, 2013 3:28 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Transsexual man admits 'tricking' 2 girls into sex
Replies: 342
Views: 30648

Re: Transsexual man admits 'tricking' 2 girls into sex

Not quite. A lie of omission is not the same thing as an outright untruth. If lies of omissions are just as bad, and If lying to get sex is also morally wrong, then I need to recite a 30-minute long list of things I've done in the past or that describe my current state in an effort to potentially d...
by Arrian
Fri Apr 12, 2013 5:26 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 48% Of People Accept Being Assigned New Beliefs
Replies: 38
Views: 7171

Re: 48% Of People Accept Being Assigned New Beliefs

Mighty Jalapeno wrote:If it's long enough to, say, sway a couple percentage points for a national election by taking advantage of ubiquitous poll-insanity, I can see some applications for this.


Isn't that the point of push-polling?
by Arrian
Fri Apr 12, 2013 4:19 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 48% Of People Accept Being Assigned New Beliefs
Replies: 38
Views: 7171

Re: 48% Of People Accept Being Assigned New Beliefs

Personally, I think that if people say "I am pro-choice", and the pollster says "You said you're pro-life, defend that position," the proper response would be to point out the obvious error, rather than simply obey. It sounds like this is really a story about the power of primin...
by Arrian
Thu Apr 11, 2013 10:37 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Transsexual man admits 'tricking' 2 girls into sex
Replies: 342
Views: 30648

Re: Transsexual man admits 'tricking' 2 girls into sex

If everyone, prior to sex, opened up a scroll and read all the things that make them potentially undesirable to their partner... no one would get laid. Ever. Lies of omission are the norm. Especially for casual sex. If there's a dealbreaker/red flag, it's the responsibility of the one with the issu...
by Arrian
Wed Apr 03, 2013 9:53 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Modern Monetary Theory
Replies: 147
Views: 54777

Re: Modern Monetary Theory

The government runs a deficit every time it spends more money than it takes in in taxes. But if the government never ran a deficit, we would have no dollars to use. That's a rather strong claim. What about places like Norway or Kuwait, where the government owns more assets than it has debt? They st...
by Arrian
Fri Mar 29, 2013 7:05 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Modern Monetary Theory
Replies: 147
Views: 54777

Re: Modern Monetary Theory

However, yes, velocity be troubling. Let me explain why. Consider, if you woll, GDP. it be kind of a common metric. Case 1: Guy spends some Things that are on my side for 600, Alex! to convert $40 in parts into a product he tin sell for $100. In GDP terms, this adds +$140(since the consumption of t...
by Arrian
Thu Mar 28, 2013 9:25 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6977
Views: 1138505

Re: Police misbehavior thread

It become an even better ruling when you consider the fact that studies have repeatedly shown that "drug-sniffing" dogs respond much more strongly to the suspicions of their handlers than they do to the presence of actual drugs. Which makes them little probable-cause generators: if the co...
by Arrian
Fri Mar 15, 2013 5:01 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Gun Control
Replies: 2237
Views: 371065

Re: Gun Control

One does not shoot a bunch of people over a minor paperwork issue. It was as much about a paperwork issue as Al Capone's arrest was about his taxes. How many people got shot when Al Capone was arrested? Did the police strategically choose a time and place likely to minimize the possibility of viole...
by Arrian
Tue Mar 12, 2013 9:03 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: CO2 concentrations rise by 2.67 ppm in 2012
Replies: 34
Views: 4619

Re: CO2 concentrations rise by 2.67 ppm in 2012

China is developing much more carbon efficiently than any developed country did, has more wind power installed than any other country, funds a lot of climate change research and their government actually accepts climate change. I just don't know too much about India, but their emissions per capita ...
by Arrian
Fri Mar 08, 2013 5:00 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Rand Paul Filibusters for Real
Replies: 81
Views: 7396

Re: Rand Paul Filibusters for Real

There's also the fact that he thinks Lochner v. New York was an example of a great SCOTUS decision, when it's basically taught in all law schools as one of the worst decisions ever, and a real example of judicial dereliction and abuse, especially overreach. Yeah, those darned Supremes and their pes...
by Arrian
Wed Mar 06, 2013 3:58 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: ABC libel suit for $1.2 billion over "pink slime"
Replies: 23
Views: 2842

Re: ABC libel suit for $1.2 billion over "pink slime"

Those three quotes about how its "unsafe for public consumption" don't actually mention that anywhere. They say its fraud to call it fresh ground beef (and the first two quotes are practically identical). First, let me say that I have no idea if those quotes are representative of the comp...
by Arrian
Tue Mar 05, 2013 10:15 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: ABC libel suit for $1.2 billion over "pink slime"
Replies: 23
Views: 2842

Re: ABC libel suit for $1.2 billion over "pink slime"

I haven't read the whole complaint, which you can find here, but it certainly doesn't completely revolve around the use of the term "slime." I'm not a lawyer, so maybe the important parts do, but I'm also seeing them making complaints about false statements of fact, like: (bolding in the o...
by Arrian
Mon Mar 04, 2013 4:42 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Modern Monetary Theory
Replies: 147
Views: 54777

Re: Modern Monetary Theory

I'm not really big on macro, but the elephant in the room right now is Interest on Reserves (IOR). That's an unprecedented move (never ran across the concept in any of my undergrad economics classes, even when going over the "How can the Fed control the money supply" sections.) IOR breaks ...
by Arrian
Thu Feb 21, 2013 5:44 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Beer Battle: US fights InBev Modelo acquistion
Replies: 22
Views: 3481

Re: Beer Battle: US fights InBev Modelo acquistion

I don't live in this world ...And as for those 2,000-plus independent craft brewers, they account for less than 6 percent of the market, with nearly half of that coming from just two brewers, Yuengling and Sam Adams.... I live in this one. what Barry Lynn of the New America Foundation calls the “ri...
by Arrian
Wed Feb 06, 2013 6:32 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Exile the Obama way
Replies: 48
Views: 5253

Re: Exile the Obama way

I don't know what else to say. The United States of America doesn't even have the decency to properly exile people, instead choosing to use some roundabout method of denying them transport home. They also aren't willing to face the implications of their actions, constantly choosing to hide behind '...
by Arrian
Fri Jan 25, 2013 9:17 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Shooting at CT Elementary School
Replies: 540
Views: 55593

Re: Shooting at CT Elementary School

Looking more at the ironically timed "Well; thank you children" post. And, as already pointed out, having a fishing pole requires no license. I was surprised, too. It seems everyone says, 'I'm not fishing.' The guy said, "It's a fishing license. Not a catching licence." I was, j...
by Arrian
Wed Jan 02, 2013 9:16 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Fired for being hot
Replies: 86
Views: 14727

Re: Fired for being hot

Why hire employees when you can treat them all as independent contractors? That's how many businesses get around things such as benefits, OT, etc... This is actually a very interesting question that economists were studying before Adam Smith toured that pin factory, indeed, Oliver Williamson won a ...
by Arrian
Wed Jan 02, 2013 4:15 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: General Economics Stuff
Replies: 118
Views: 44066

Re: General Economics Stuff

Printing that much money leads to hyper inflation that can destroy the economy, and simply writing everything off makes it next to impossible to borrow money in the future. The economy is already pretty destroyed! And I think banks would still lend the US money. What alternative do they have; there...
by Arrian
Tue Dec 04, 2012 6:04 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wal-Mart has police remove congressman-elect from store for:
Replies: 175
Views: 20881

Re: Wal-Mart has police remove congressman-elect from store

Not even the big box stores will collapse, not most of them anyway. The scale economies are too large. They will almost certainly cut back on staffing levels, like more automated checkouts, maybe automated warehousing as well. So the net welfare impact on workers is unclear. It will drive smaller bu...
by Arrian
Tue Dec 04, 2012 5:27 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Evolution happening within our lifetimes.
Replies: 109
Views: 12643

Re: Evolution happening within our lifetimes.

When you mention a type of species, is that a misspeak or a different definition? "Evolution" is a thing that happens. I don't think the finches or peppered moths are examples of the speciation refereed to earlier (the link in the original post). Regardless, they are examples of evolution...
by Arrian
Tue Dec 04, 2012 3:29 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Wal-Mart has police remove congressman-elect from store for:
Replies: 175
Views: 20881

Re: Wal-Mart has police remove congressman-elect from store

Are Wal-Mart's (or any company's or entire industry's) low prices worth having, if they're only possible as long as their employees are underpaid? (I say no.) What are your criteria for coming to that conclusion? Wal Mart depresses wages by about $4.7 billion a year. Wal Mart's low prices means peo...
by Arrian
Tue Nov 06, 2012 4:27 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
Replies: 1637
Views: 174749

Re: 2012 U.S. Presidential Election

I got to the poll at 7:50, walked out at 9:20, the 280th person to vote in my precinct. Bush v Gore didn't set precedence though, since the Supreme Court was pretty aware that what they were doing was wrong. Orly? But in the last few years the [Bush v. Gore] opinion has been resurrected by the Unite...
by Arrian
Thu Nov 01, 2012 7:58 pm UTC
Forum: Gaming
Topic: Adaptive Enemy AI
Replies: 8
Views: 3119

Re: Adaptive Enemy AI

I thought football games did this, if you keep running the same play you're going to start getting stuffed pretty soon. Even choosing different plays but mostly running or passing, the other team will start stacking against you.

That or I'm just not very good. That's a distinct possibility.
by Arrian
Tue Oct 23, 2012 2:47 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Italian seismologists sentenced to 6 years for earth quakes
Replies: 42
Views: 5540

Re: Italian seismologists sentenced to 6 years for earth qua

Anyways, my prediction is that this trial was largely to appease the townsfolk who lost loved ones in the quake, and that these guys will be let off upon appeal. Of course I'm only willing to say that because I live in a country that doesn't typically throw people in jail for making wrong predictio...
by Arrian
Tue Oct 09, 2012 8:51 pm UTC
Forum: Gaming
Topic: Dungeons and Dragons (and other tabletop RPGs)
Replies: 2120
Views: 430805

Re: Dungeons and Dragons (and other tabletop RPGs)

Battletech is good for giant robots with less of the Japanese anime feel, and Shadowrun is classic fantasy-cyberpunk. Both are published by Catalyst Game Labs ... Beyond that I try to keep up with the latest edition of D&D if only because being the most popular game system it's the easiest to f...
by Arrian
Sun Oct 07, 2012 2:43 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 873,000 Jobs in September
Replies: 127
Views: 17427

Re: 873,000 Jobs in September

Oh, I think I've heard of those. You mean like when they need people for the harvest or the holiday rush? That's why you look at "seasonally adjusted," not the raw numbers. Then remember that seasonally adjusted is a statistical construct on top of the original statistical concept of how ...
by Arrian
Fri Oct 05, 2012 3:34 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: In other news... (humorous news items)
Replies: 15151
Views: 2664343

Re: In other news... (humorous news items, etc)

Hey guys, we've been doing it wrong! We shouldn't be skeptical of data mined research because, apparently, "correlation does not imply causation" is just a tired phrase trolls use to avoid meaningful discussion.

There are even graphs, so it must be true!
by Arrian
Thu Oct 04, 2012 6:00 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Apple gets a ban on Samsung Galaxy Nexus
Replies: 132
Views: 32517

Re: Apple gets a ban on Samsung Galaxy Nexus

My guess is that they are throwing everything at the wall, and the parts that stick will be the initial claims that "IP law isn't central to my being" followed with post-trial interviews of an activist juror especially glad to make claims on IP law. Judges dispise the idea that a juror mi...
by Arrian
Mon Sep 24, 2012 4:15 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Tech Industry's Dirty Little Secret
Replies: 74
Views: 12173

Re: Tech Industry's Dirty Little Secret

Why do people value up time that much? Because that's how people who create data centers make money, by convincing you that you need to access all that glorious data, now. And at the risk of being seen as condescending, I find it hard to believe that Farmville was ever the product of an exacting cu...
by Arrian
Mon Sep 17, 2012 1:29 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Japan, China, on collision course over uninhabited islands
Replies: 97
Views: 21426

Re: Japan, China, on collision course over uninhabited islan

http://www.creditwritedowns.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/China-food-prices.png food prices going sky high and making a big fuss and stiring up nationalism over something stupid. Or brilliant! The people are unhappy about a lot of things, with good reason. So focus their attention on an outsider t...

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