Search found 6993 matches

by Zamfir
Tue Oct 25, 2016 2:38 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

The bar in using bribery in that fashion is so low as to be non existent. In common use it begs the comparison to illegal behavior, AKA, Crooked Hillary. That definition would also apply to the billion or so Hillary will raise in this current election cycle. Thankfully, the Trump campaign has read ...
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 25, 2016 10:30 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: First Tesla Autopilot Death
Replies: 304
Views: 38098

Re: First Tesla Autopilot Death

I thought the article made a reasonable point: Tesla has took a serious step back on its autopilot project. They stopped shipping it indefinitely, but they packaged this in a PR story about how all the new cars will have new hardware. And it worked. I have seen multiple articles in regular news sour...
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 25, 2016 7:06 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

yeah, sure. I have no reason to assume that she or the foundation did anything illegal here. Though that is a low barrier. Another thing - about that "legacy" thing. That might imply that the Clinton's only benefit here is some abstracted contribution to charity, prhaps for the associated ...
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 25, 2016 1:03 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

o are these majority favored options otherwise? I've always had some trouble seeing what's wrong with collations apart from the root problem of mostly people one doesn't like getting elected. The problem that Zohar describes , is that coalitions make it hard to distinguish from the outside when a p...
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 24, 2016 5:20 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

@ Zohar, there might be some (almost) unavoidable compromise there. On the one hand, you need clarity. People win an election, they get to implement their platform. Voters can judge if they do want they said, and if it does what they promised it would. On the other hand, you need some inertia, so po...
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 24, 2016 1:49 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

This is veering pretty close to tin foil hat territory. Driven there by the phrase, every American President. It implies an implicit conspiracy by every American President to either or profit from or conceal an effort by the Saudi's to influence the policy of the US with their wealth. Where do you ...
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 24, 2016 10:20 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

This is false: Saudia Arabia donated money to the Clinton Foundation -- which she wasn't even part of during her tenure as Secretary of State (which wouldn't matter, because they didn't donate anything while she was Secretary of State anyway). Isn't that a bit naive? Saudi Arabia and the Gulf state...
by Zamfir
Wed Oct 19, 2016 7:02 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Zhi, I am a moderator. I can't turn off the spam filter, but if you send me the link through private message (PM), I'll put it up EDIT: this is from zhi, posted by Zamfir to avoid spam filtering I'm unsure of which source would be most valuable. Here is snopes, while snopes has had a few issues wit...
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 18, 2016 7:36 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Measuring Clinton against past candidates, or Trump against past candidates does not result in particularly high hopes for the future, eh? In what sense is Clinton an exceptionally bad candidate? Serious question, I can't see it from the outside, compared to the past few decades of presidents or pr...
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 17, 2016 5:49 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

It's such a contrast. Post 1, Clinton is organising the end of democracy in the US, post 2, she pissed off people at the state department. I have troubling seeing how Qaanol can care much about the second, if they're already concerned about the first.
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 17, 2016 5:21 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

In your previous post, you suspected Clinton of organising country-wide election fraud. Do you still believe that?
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 17, 2016 6:56 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Ah, but this paper is literally self-refuting. That helps in the analysis, saves on the hard work of checking the sources and the statistics and the methodology. First they say that Clinton got 65% of the delegates in states without paper trail, and 48% in paper trail states. Hypothesis: fraud. Null...
by Zamfir
Sun Oct 16, 2016 4:51 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

I'd take our lsystem over that of the US, yeah, though I don't know how much that means. Like most people I probably prefer what I grew up with. But when I look at the expectations that some Americans expect from reform, then our politics doesn't meet them. By a long shot. For example, the big peopl...
by Zamfir
Sun Oct 16, 2016 4:00 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Arbiter, afaict your plan needs the following stages: A. Attract voters away from one of the two big parties, enough to spoil one election. This happens once in while, like 2000. B.keep this movement alive to stay a credible threat, for multiple cycles and elections on various levels. This part is e...
by Zamfir
Fri Oct 14, 2016 11:05 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

It's hardly a counterexample. It was almost literally Kant's own example.
by Zamfir
Fri Oct 14, 2016 10:15 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

who have fallen prey to the process of duopolistic entrenchment that almost inevitably results from FPTP Is that the core issue though? It's nice to believe that the issue is due to some technicality of the voting process, but what if it's simply the electorate? From the previous post, Qaanol's obj...
by Zamfir
Wed Oct 12, 2016 9:08 am UTC
Forum: General
Topic: Parenting - Gushes, Rants, Advice & Worries
Replies: 141
Views: 30743

Re: Parenting - Gushes, Rants, Advice & Worries

Good smile.
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 11, 2016 6:48 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

It's hard to judge those Atlantic city stories. They mention 15% junk bonds. At such interest rates, bankruptcy becomes a different beast than usual. If you collect coupons for 10 years on such a loan, then restructure for 30 cents on the dollar, you still collected 180% of face value. Similar to an...
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 11, 2016 8:59 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Doesn't have that much to do with risk taking or moving the economy forward? It's just fairness - a highly variable income should be treated roughly similar as a flat income with the same average. Most (if not all) tax codes have smoothing features like this. It's not even obvious that Trump is taki...
by Zamfir
Sun Oct 09, 2016 5:19 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Ah, but what if he's found poisoned by polonium from a Russian reactor?
by Zamfir
Sun Oct 09, 2016 4:55 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

No one seemed to care about that... "No one" is probably the wrong word. Party unity is important. I am sure the defectors have wanted out quite some time already but we're kept in line by the rest of the party. There's safety in numbers: it's much better to break rank in a group , then a...
by Zamfir
Sun Oct 09, 2016 3:01 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

But seriously, if this sex-thing is the one thing that does him in, I'm going to be completely confused. Don't be. Republicans big shots may say they are abandoning him because of this, but that doesn't make it true. As Hippo writes above, they just use this scandal as an excuse for an action they ...
by Zamfir
Fri Oct 07, 2016 5:01 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Hurricane Matthew: Climate Change Strikes Back
Replies: 28
Views: 4809

Re: Hurricane Matthew: Climate Change Strikes Back

But 140 mph wind speeds doesn't sound so bad. That's not that much above a run-of-the-mill autumn storm. For comparison, the highest reference windload in the Dutch building code is about 70mph, sustained for 1 hour. That's for a building directly on the coast, and only near Den Helder. i think 75m...
by Zamfir
Thu Oct 06, 2016 5:25 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

If you were in Germany in 1930, would you have seen it coming? This was discussed above: in 1930, both the NSDAP and the KPD had large armed militias. Hitler had already tried his first coup back in 1923, and had been punished rather lightly by sympathetic judges. That was inspired in turn by Musso...
by Zamfir
Wed Oct 05, 2016 8:13 am UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Should We Try Solar Radiation Management?
Replies: 89
Views: 14520

Re: Should We Try Solar Radiation Management?

About 1 billion acres at around 3000 dollar/acre, plus a premium if you want to buy from people who weren't planning to sell, plus extra acres in between that are not currently part of a farm -> let's say 5 trillion to buy the land. Then there's 2million farms. Another trillion to compensate for the...
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 04, 2016 6:36 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Bannon is 'campaign ceo', Conway is 'campaign manager', whatever this means. They seem to be pals, or at least allies. Bannon is a good entry point because we have a reasonably good idea of his views. More than the other,more insidery political operators there like Conway. He has been in charge of B...
by Zamfir
Tue Oct 04, 2016 5:24 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

I get that you don't like Bannon, but he's not any more or less relevant to this election than any other Why not? He's in charge of this campaign, other campaigns don't want to be associated with him. You talk about 'actual data, not speculation'. How much better data are there, than the actual peo...
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 03, 2016 9:24 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

But I don't know who his cabinet is. I don't think anyone does; his cabinet doesn't exist yet? The best we can do is speculate regarding who he's going to surround himself with based on who he's surrounding himself with right now. Wikipedia has a list of 'key people' in the campaign. I don't know h...
by Zamfir
Mon Oct 03, 2016 4:35 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Yeah, and also just being a celebrity (and milking your celebrity) requires true skill. It also requires a healthy of does of luck at some points, but Trumps lucky break was decades ago. A rich father who set him up, a booming Manhattan market just after he bought in, a 1980s public ready to lionize...
by Zamfir
Sun Oct 02, 2016 9:02 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Then again, the guy is 70 and still hard at work. And his surely personal brand of creativity has kept him the in focus of the news for the last year, and gives him a shot at being president. That's true skill, exactly the kind that capitalism is supposed to pay for. The guy is a truly brilliant sna...
by Zamfir
Thu Sep 29, 2016 4:16 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

The alternateve take is that Wall Street used cross selling as a metric for the growth potential of banks,so upper management was completely happy when underlings boosted those cross selling numbers.
by Zamfir
Tue Sep 27, 2016 6:03 pm UTC
Forum: Science
Topic: How serious is a 1st degree burn?
Replies: 15
Views: 2645

Re: How serious is a 1st degree burn?

How does the water cooling work anyway? It's one of those things that make sense at first, but less so if you think about them. After all, the heat that caused the burn is quickly gone, but you have to keep the wound cold for minutes afterwards to have much effect on the healing. All I can think of ...
by Zamfir
Tue Sep 27, 2016 8:39 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: In other news... (humorous news items)
Replies: 14040
Views: 1925835

Re: In other news... (humorous news items, etc)

He might be wrong on the trade, though. It's true that the volume of trade is usually larger with nearby countries, but trade volume is not a useful thing in itself. Or we could get rich selling by lot of products abroad, then buying them back for the same price. The gains come from differentiation,...
by Zamfir
Mon Sep 26, 2016 6:11 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

If you can't stop torture even when it's really unpopular I though it was more like, a minority against torture, a minority in favour of it, and a balance ofpeople who'll accept some torture if it's not too icky and not too often. The same for the Iraq war, at the time. Enthusiasts + lukewarm suppo...
by Zamfir
Mon Sep 26, 2016 12:46 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2016 US Presidential Election
Replies: 8482
Views: 737170

Re: 2016 US Presidential Election

Isn't this giving too much credit to the media? I mean, people know that Trump is a power-tripping asshole whose views (at the least) border on racism. He's not subtle. The simpler explanation is that a significant number of voters simply like Trump, because of those things. And another bunch does't...
by Zamfir
Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:31 pm UTC
Forum: General
Topic: Parenting - Gushes, Rants, Advice & Worries
Replies: 141
Views: 30743

Re: Parenting - Gushes, Rants, Advice & Worries

[quote][/quote]Whats a paint bar? They don't serve paint in bars around here, or even thinner to sniff.

The little Zamfir is a natural born alcoholic, or at least a lover of the bottle.
Spoiler:
Image
by Zamfir
Thu Sep 22, 2016 2:58 pm UTC
Forum: Individual XKCD Comic Threads
Topic: 1735: "Fashion Police and Grammar Police"
Replies: 269
Views: 26968

Re: 1735: "Fashion Police and Grammar Police"

It reminds me of the word "eh", commonly thought of as the quintessential Canadian word. Though many Canadians could not describe to you exactly how "eh" is used (and, indeed, use it horribly wrong when they're trying to over-use it to make fun of themselves), "eh" sti...
by Zamfir
Thu Sep 22, 2016 10:07 am UTC
Forum: Individual XKCD Comic Threads
Topic: 1735: "Fashion Police and Grammar Police"
Replies: 269
Views: 26968

Re: 1735: "Fashion Police and Grammar Police"

The additional meaning for "literally" is pretty cool. It's an intensifier, but one that can only be used for figurative speech. "I am cold" vs "I am literally cold" doesn't really make much sense, but "I am freezing to death" is less intense than "I am ...
by Zamfir
Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:44 am UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Acutaries on Pensions, & Housing
Replies: 115
Views: 12726

Re: Acutaries on Pensions, & Housing

True, but the US is not Europe. In the US, long term home rentals are not so common. To the contrary, home ownership in the US is comparable to Europe, a tad on the low side even Eurostat US census elasto's "continental Europe" with a large rental market (compared to the Uk or the US) is ...
by Zamfir
Wed Sep 21, 2016 7:34 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Acutaries on Pensions, & Housing
Replies: 115
Views: 12726

Re: Acutaries Cooked The Books on Pensions, (Maybe?)

As to the arguments (raised by others) about having to build housing, no. Just no. People still have to live somewhere, whether they own the place or rent it. Encouraging people to own won't create more demand for housing because it reduces the demand for rental housing in proportion. It makes owni...

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