Search found 11192 matches

by Tyndmyr
Fri Aug 31, 2018 2:25 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Police misbehavior thread
Replies: 6429
Views: 938247

Re: Police misbehavior thread

That looks like rather more than a $5,000 fix-up job to me.

I feel like the city should, at minimum, put the guy up in nice accommodations while his house is being professionally fixed for him, with all costs being covered. Maybe they can take it out of the police grenade budget.
by Tyndmyr
Fri Aug 31, 2018 2:21 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: The Darker Side of the News
Replies: 4119
Views: 548077

Re: The Darker Side of the News

"You're the enemy of the people, and we're going to kill every f---ing one of you,” Well, that's a wee bit horrifying. Describing media as the enemy of the people is altogether a bit odd. That particular phrase has some pretty bad history when it comes to justifying violence. Definitely not a ...
by Tyndmyr
Fri Aug 31, 2018 2:11 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7216
Views: 538376

Re: Trump presidency

Eh, offshoring has been a problem for forever. The trade war *could* go sideways, but it hasn't yet, and it probably won't. Most other parties have a great deal more to lose from one than the US does. I dont think this holds. Yes, the US typically has a strong negotiation position. But that's nothi...
by Tyndmyr
Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:48 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Still, if you are an abstract "average" developer, and you see money flowing from mansion market to studio apartment market, you will build less mansions and more studio apartments. Which effectively allows poor to go shopping for something that would otherwise be a part of mansion. That ...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 10:45 pm UTC
Forum: Individual XKCD Comic Threads
Topic: 2039: "Begging the Question"
Replies: 145
Views: 7764

Re: 2039: "Begging the Question"

If someone promulgated a sarcastic or ironically reversed usage of a term commonly used in health and safety, they'd be rightly pilloried for it, and possibly arrested for endangering others if it somehow caught on. I am literally 100% certain that this would not, in fact, be the case. I'd die of l...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 10:38 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Could Truth be Beauty?
Replies: 32
Views: 1571

Re: Could Truth be Beauty?

Truths can be beautiful, I suppose. Not all truths are beautiful though. The terms are definitely not synonymous in any real sense. Using standard tropes also does not make a story "true". It might feel realistic or not, but even that may depend on the viewer. The inconsistency that irks m...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 10:09 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Either you don't have anything to say in response to my initial argument, or you think that inflation will inevitably wipe out minimum wage gains after a point. If you can keep increasing minimum wage above inflation, it will get closer and closer to mean wage. As minimum wage approaches mean wage,...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 8:55 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Demonstrable fact: Minimum wage increases result in wages at the bottom increasing more than inflation. My Argument: Increasing minimum wage every year so that we maintain our inflation target will result in increasing ability from people to move from the bottom to the middle and from the middle to...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 8:28 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

I'm sure that sounds good in your head, but it is completely irrelevant to what is being discussed; I'm sure you don't realize this, as you don't think. We are talking about increasing minimum wage every year, so that every year they get closer and closer together over time. I'm quite sure we've al...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 8:14 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Again, you look for the one thing that makes your argument sound good to you, and you completely stop looking further. You put no thought into anything you write: because you are arguing about the minimum wage, the only possible reason that housing prices could have gone up is because of the minimu...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 7:50 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

There's a steady rise there. One that starts just as the bill was proposed(it was passed in 2014, and was talked about for some time prior). Economic effects take into account future expectations. Now, obviously, there are other effects in the housing market besides minimum wage, but your source act...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 7:26 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

https://us.spindices.com/indices/real-estate/sp-corelogic-case-shiller-us-national-home-price-nsa-index So US housing prices has averaged 6% per year in increases from June 2012 to June 2018. That article you cited says that housing prices increased 2% per year, which you are attributing to a minim...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 6:54 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7216
Views: 538376

Re: Trump presidency

↶ 1 in 6 believe abortion should be illegal in all cases , even rape. So yeah, pretty fricken common. Yikes, that's worse than I thought. Although of course this doesn't necessarily suggest all of these people equate Democrats with baby-killers by default. Still... damn. It's a ton. It's way more c...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 6:40 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Which you have failed to back up your argument. You are assuming that rents will always increase to absorb prices, as that is the only way you can argue against minimum wage/UBI, but in order to do that you have to dismiss the possibility that regional housing prices will affect local housing price...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 6:23 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Now your entire argument falls apart if you compare anything but poverty vs mansions, but if that's the only possible way you can avoid the point, that's the only possible way you can avoid the point. It's an example. There's a graduation of markets the entire way down, but if you're not changing s...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 6:10 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

The poorest all now have more money, and can afford to pay more for housing. They are all competing with one another for limited goods, but since they have all been equally advantaged, none of them enjoy a relative advantage over one another. But they are more advantaged than they were before relat...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 6:02 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Tyndmyr: do you think the opposite effect will happen as well, and if we took a bunch of money from poor people, they'd suddenly be more (or at least, equally) able to afford housing etc because prices would drop in response to there being fewer dollars in that market segment? It sounds kinda ridic...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 5:55 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Maryland just went through a pretty significant series of minimum wage increases. Rent prices do not seem to have equalized regionally. The expensive places are still expensive, and the cheap places are still cheap. The same seems likely to be the case after UBI. Despite somewhat flattening income, ...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 5:21 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Rents overall will not increase. But rents on the affordable housing options used by low wage workers will. This is basic supply and demand. Supply isn't increasing, demand isn't decreasing. If the market competitors are all now 20% richer, it's just more dollars chasing the same goods*. And if you ...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 4:57 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

I've read and understood your point, but I disagree. Yes, not all things will inflate equally. You're only boosting a portion of the wages, so inflation relative to overall economy will of course be relatively small. However, for goods primarily consumed by those low income individuals, such as low ...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 4:42 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

If you were to keep increasing minimum wage the maximum amount so that the economy stayed below its inflation target, what you would expect is that on average people at the top would lose money as they can no longer exploit low wages to profit, and higher wage earners would see real wages drop as t...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 4:37 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage
Replies: 131
Views: 9627

Re: 2018 Midterm Elections Coverage

Every single Maryland race is 99-1%. This, honestly, seems correct. It's not very exciting, and doesn't really give much opportunity for interesting insights, but it is what it is, I guess. Seems to be house only, but it looks like we're gonna keep our Republican governor, despite being a state that...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 4:27 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7216
Views: 538376

Re: Trump presidency

Housing is only more expensive in 'blue' areas due to a combination of those areas being nicer and the people having more money; things that only happen when your local government provides education and infrastructure. If the town is a poor shithole, landlords can't charge as much. Sure, it's mostl...
by Tyndmyr
Thu Aug 30, 2018 3:50 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Firearms Regulations
Replies: 213
Views: 15850

Re: Firearms Regulations

I'd love if there was, say, a phone number or web page one could go to in order to do a background check. You wouldn't have to make it mandatory, but it'd give a private seller an option to check, for free, and quickly, if a potential buyer were sketchy. This would also be useful to see if a prospe...
by Tyndmyr
Wed Aug 29, 2018 9:22 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7216
Views: 538376

Re: Trump presidency

Housing is only more expensive in 'blue' areas due to a combination of those areas being nicer and the people having more money; things that only happen when your local government provides education and infrastructure. If the town is a poor shithole, landlords can't charge as much. Sure, it's mostl...
by Tyndmyr
Wed Aug 29, 2018 7:57 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Firearms Regulations
Replies: 213
Views: 15850

Re: Firearms Regulations

I'd love if there was, say, a phone number or web page one could go to in order to do a background check. You wouldn't have to make it mandatory, but it'd give a private seller an option to check, for free, and quickly, if a potential buyer were sketchy. If those caveats were in place, it would allo...
by Tyndmyr
Wed Aug 29, 2018 7:50 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Judea Pearl's Critism of Machine Learning
Replies: 17
Views: 3498

Re: Judea Pearl's Critism of Machine Learning

...it seems like he's saying that "it doesn't count unless the machines are sentient (sapient???)". I suppose one could claim that humans are not actually intelligent, either. Sort of running into philosophical areas, though, not ones of computer science. I don't particularly care how a s...
by Tyndmyr
Wed Aug 29, 2018 7:43 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7216
Views: 538376

Re: Trump presidency

I genuinely cannot wrap my head around the fact that intelligent, ordinary people are making the conscious decision to vote Republican right now. Between Trump being a massive manchild and the biggest heel to hold the seat in decades, and the rest of the party's current ideology (as far as I know) ...
by Tyndmyr
Wed Aug 29, 2018 6:47 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Sure, they only got a year at most of funding. The question is, what did that one year accomplish? Is it better or worse than ODSP(or other programs)? Yes, it's clear that folks enjoyed the additional funding, but I'd consider "well, I started college, but won't be able to finish due to the pr...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 8:38 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7216
Views: 538376

Re: Trump presidency

Is there anywhere on the internet we can see an example of the kind of survey approval ratings are based on? I'm curious to know the questions they ask so I can see what my answers would be. Hmm, looks like there's actually significant variance depending on the particular poll you follow: https://e...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 7:48 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: Trump presidency
Replies: 7216
Views: 538376

Re: Trump presidency

Oh sure. A bunch of his supporters justify it that way. They might not care for his personal values, but they manage to overlook them due to other priorities. Not that I ever get polled, but I'm not certain how I'd answer that. Some things are working out pretty well. The economy's good at present, ...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 7:39 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Low paid and part time jobs are taxed comparatively lightly under any progressive taxation scheme. Generally, low paid workers in the US pay little in tax, as you pay only 10% federal tax on your first bit of income, and you've got deductions to consider as well. Maybe it's just the UK that handles...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 6:14 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

The libertarian answer to that is "Jesus, maybe don't spend $50mil on a gazebo, either". Now, if we're looking at it seriously, it looks like the $50mil bought more than just the gazebo, but justifying spending on the basis of other things being more wasteful seems like a bad angle to take...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 5:24 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: The Darker Side of the News
Replies: 4119
Views: 548077

Re: The Darker Side of the News

Perhaps a guess at the time, but an accurate one, it turns out. Not a strange result, as a great many shooters have turned out to have mental health issues. It's probably a safe bet that the next mass shooter to hit the news will also be a bit mentally unstable. I wonder if his dad has changed his m...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 3:16 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

I think both of those assumptions are fairly easy to demonstrate a correlation for. In the US, at least, obesity is mostly a lower/middle class problem, with lower rates for the upper class. Education, of course, we've already explicitly correlated with income. I doubt anyone here will argue with th...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 2:29 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: The Darker Side of the News
Replies: 4119
Views: 548077

Re: The Darker Side of the News

welcome to modern psychological warfare. I generally do not read comments on news articles, but I did and "Russian Troll" is about the level of context I often saw. For example: some implied that Florida was an anti-gun state, or that this guy (who hadn't been named yet) was already a wel...
by Tyndmyr
Tue Aug 28, 2018 2:20 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

To an extent, relying on basic income to make up for a particularly low paying job can be inefficient. It's similar to how folks accuse Walmart of relying on government subsidies to support it's workers*. If a job is only efficient enough at creating value to pay $2/hr to workers, getting the gover...
by Tyndmyr
Mon Aug 27, 2018 8:19 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: In other news... (humorous news items)
Replies: 14869
Views: 2321178

Re: In other news... (humorous news items)

There was some cool research into savings based lotteries, where you got a ticket if you deposited some money into a savings account. Every month, the bank pays out to a winner from interest payments. The savers get slightly reduced interest, but an incentive to save as well. Big Lotto was not happ...
by Tyndmyr
Mon Aug 27, 2018 8:03 pm UTC
Forum: News & Articles
Topic: In other news... (humorous news items)
Replies: 14869
Views: 2321178

Re: In other news... (humorous news items)

On a related issue: what do people here think is the optimal size for a lottery prize? The thrill is that you can imagine what you'd do with the money, and be excited while the possibility is in the air. On the other hand, the higher the prize the smaller the chance, and this reduces excitement bec...
by Tyndmyr
Mon Aug 27, 2018 7:51 pm UTC
Forum: Serious Business
Topic: Libertarianism
Replies: 856
Views: 27407

Re: Libertarianism

Ontario recently ended it's UBI experiment two years early. Here's hoping they release data about the results of the experiment. The reason given was the $50mil/yr expense to support 4,000 individuals on it. Some reactions have been in the news, but of course, anecdotes are not data, so I'm hoping f...

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