Spoiler:
1: Attack Left-Up
2: Move Right-Down
3: Move Left-Down
4: Attack Left-Down
5: Move Down
W: Push Left-Up
2: Move Right-Down
3: Move Left-Down
4: Attack Left-Down
5: Move Down
W: Push Left-Up
Thoughts
Spoiler:
Of course I'm going to attack Heu#4. Which could still (boringly) defend or be grabbed by 1 to take it out of reach, but that'd rather leave Heu#1 spent and vulnerable. So I say Heu#4 is going to Defend Right-… Down? And it'll just waste time. Unless Em is letting Heury off (collusion? NO COLLUSION!!!) whilst taking on Faubi#1 with a grab'n'kill, maybe (Faub#3 may be Defending Up, and alternately Em#2+4 pick on either Faub#1 or Faub#W… I think the wizard is tempting but risking Faub#3 attacking based on the same assumption, so that leaves the choice of hitting F#3 and H#1 or leaving H#1 alone). It's a melee, could go bad for Faubi or not totally bad for them.
I feel that #3 will be more useful down there. Less out on a limb than some pieces, it should be good for some future tactics (better than Move LU) but that'll depend on everyone else.
Up in the top half, 2 can't do anything positive right now that doesn't mess up a temporary safe-zone. If Em has talked to 321 about a revised deal then it might not even be that, but I can't work on that assumption, so I'm going to make myself (potentially) useful next turn. I am assuming Three#2 will Defend Right-Down, and will definitely do it the courtesy of not exploiting this (see below Super Secret, if you're not involved and yet for some reason reading this Spoiler. Your last chance to be honest!).
#5's move (could have been back to Left-Down, but I'm avoiding Right-Down/Left-Up for obvious reasons and (Right-)Up sends the wrong message without - yes, moving my #5 up for two turns would be a better combined-force position, but I don't think uniting my #5+2 in adjacent tiles would be trusted half as much, whatever my intentions) isn't running away, or even running towards a lower-half battle, but another reposition. Neither of its possible Grabs would have done anything but frustrate things.
If W's attempt to Push frustrates those same things, they probably deserve to be frustrated. As I'm blocking a full Patzer#2+5 flanking of Three#2 (for frivolities next turn) by trying to move to where the P#5 would go, I don't see a problem pushing the P#2 there if P#3 doesn't go there already.
Super-secret: Yes, I could chat with various people with intent to go bad faith on others, but I'm not doing. Not because I'm not thinking of it, and there is in fact a few possible things that could work well (if I could rely on the new cooperation from essentially doomed players) but I'm not stooping to that. And if I were, I'd be telling you passive/future observer this right here.
Though I appreciate that if I played a little less risk-averse (or maybe just the appearance of doing so? No, not just the appearance, but Shhhhhh, anyway) I might reap bigger rewards and not be just coasting into ultimately fatal apathy at this point.
I feel that #3 will be more useful down there. Less out on a limb than some pieces, it should be good for some future tactics (better than Move LU) but that'll depend on everyone else.
Up in the top half, 2 can't do anything positive right now that doesn't mess up a temporary safe-zone. If Em has talked to 321 about a revised deal then it might not even be that, but I can't work on that assumption, so I'm going to make myself (potentially) useful next turn. I am assuming Three#2 will Defend Right-Down, and will definitely do it the courtesy of not exploiting this (see below Super Secret, if you're not involved and yet for some reason reading this Spoiler. Your last chance to be honest!).
#5's move (could have been back to Left-Down, but I'm avoiding Right-Down/Left-Up for obvious reasons and (Right-)Up sends the wrong message without - yes, moving my #5 up for two turns would be a better combined-force position, but I don't think uniting my #5+2 in adjacent tiles would be trusted half as much, whatever my intentions) isn't running away, or even running towards a lower-half battle, but another reposition. Neither of its possible Grabs would have done anything but frustrate things.
If W's attempt to Push frustrates those same things, they probably deserve to be frustrated. As I'm blocking a full Patzer#2+5 flanking of Three#2 (for frivolities next turn) by trying to move to where the P#5 would go, I don't see a problem pushing the P#2 there if P#3 doesn't go there already.
Super-secret: Yes, I could chat with various people with intent to go bad faith on others, but I'm not doing. Not because I'm not thinking of it, and there is in fact a few possible things that could work well (if I could rely on the new cooperation from essentially doomed players) but I'm not stooping to that. And if I were, I'd be telling you passive/future observer this right here.
Though I appreciate that if I played a little less risk-averse (or maybe just the appearance of doing so? No, not just the appearance, but Shhhhhh, anyway) I might reap bigger rewards and not be just coasting into ultimately fatal apathy at this point.