I apologise for not being as active this week as I should, but work has kept me busy.
SirGabriel is lying.
I suspected as much when he claimed doctor as I thought three doctors way too much for a game this size, but I had also thought I was the only doctor until moody flipped, and to go from 2-3 is not as hard to go from as 1-2, so I wanted to be sure. Especially as if I was wrong (and we had 3 doctors), we would probably be in serious need of those doctors from a game design point of view. I tried to subtly point out the problem with moody's flip here:
Dr Ug wrote:
Sungura wrote:Moody is dead. Cave Crawfish. Mafia.
Sungura wrote:Cave Crawfish: You are smaller than your above ground cousins, but the cave probably slows your growth. You may live to be very old, no one knows.
Does this strike anyone else as strange? I didn't exactly think "Crawfish, gee that looks like the mafia faction".
But no one noticed. The problem is I know that it was wrong, as I am a crawfish and a doctor. Which means this:
SirGabriel wrote:Sorry for the late post, the last few days have been busy.
I am a Pseudoscorpion.
is definitely a falseclaim. And it also means that moody was recruited.
I didn't want to out myself as the other doctor (especially when there was a possibility of 3 doctors implying a ridiculous possible kill number), but I think we're likely at LYLO now (see below).
Dr Ug wrote:Haven't had a lot of time to spend on mafia this last week, but given SirG's claim (unless we get a counterclaim?) I'll
But also - SirGabriel, what is your rolename? If you're falseclaiming, this would be a harder thing to lie about than the role itself.
I was worried this might not be a falseclaim, even though 3 doctors is too many. I just wanted to be sure by having him claim his role name. I should probably have been more vocal, especially when he made no comment about the crawfish flip of moody. Again I didn't want to draw attention (of the kill or recruit variety) to myself.
I targeted username night 1 and night 2 as they were fairly confirmed town in my eyes at that point from Vytron's original death message. My doctoring protects from recruit as well as kill, which makes username confirmed town. I assume moody's also protected the same, but he must have been recruited night 1. From a setup point of view, that's a lot of power on town's side, so I suspect that mafia started with 3 members, as I think 2 too weak and 4 too strong (with two doctors, blocking both recruits and kills, chance of missed recruits and kills are quite high).
I modded HP Mafire which had recruiting scum, and in that game they had to choose between kill and recruit. This may explain the low kill rate, as in general a recruit is a better action than a kill (if you start at 3-6 mafia-town, a night kill takes you to 3-5, where a recruit takes you to 4-5, which is better). I recall this being discussed previously (I think in HP Mafire - which mpolo notably won as recruited mason-mafia), so it's likely if it was a choice, they chose to recruit.
We have lynched one mafia, who was a recruit. This means we have recruiting scum, and we are in big doo-doo. It also means that mason's are not confirmed town, and ElectricHaze it may be that's why mason chat has been quiet. If Hangafia has taught me anything, it's that scum who have chat with confirmed town don't tend to use it, although with Vytron gone (I assume he no longer has chat with you?), and madge not recruited, and username being confirmed town that means if anyone is suspicious for recruit it's actually you. I didn't have you high up on my list of potential recruit targets prior to now, so I think that's actually unlikely.
So we have:
Me - doctor
username - mason, confirmed town due to doctoring
electrichaze - mason claimed and confirmed by other masons. May have been recruited, but not an obvious choice for N2 recruit IMO.
Vytron - ex-mason and who knows what now. Given the other mechanisms in play, I think likely still town?
SirGabriel - falseclaimed doctor
Suzuku - claimed the daykill (which seemed to have been an earned power? Can you explain this?)
I think it unlikely SirG was the only original mafia, so the others must come from mpolo / Carlington / Suzaku / Diemo.
SirGabriel is, however, confirmed scum in my mind so: Vote: SirGabriel
I will try to get more time before deadline to post my thoughts on the other players, but I am on call this weekend so I may not.
Tonight I will be targetting either username, ElectricHaze or myself (yes I can target myself).