Warning, I typed this post out pretty steam of consciousness, so there is a lot in it, and I haven't really rewritten it at all since.
Role/Submission Claim summary:
Sabrar - Submitted jester (verified by heuristically_alone flip). Flipped Witch Doctor.
heuristically_alone - Submitted Mafia Cop (according to Lawrencelot). Flipped Jester.
Lawrencelot - Submitted and kept (claimed Town) Researcher (confirmed by knowing mpolo's role*).
mpolo - Submitted Town healing aura role (verified by matt's claim). Claimed Town Roleblocker (verified by Lawrencelot).
moody - Submitted and received Gunsmith (verified by mpolo receiving a gun**).
matt - Submitted vote buyer/rolebocker/lover SK (unverified). Claimed healing aura role (verified by mpolo).
jimbobmacdoodle - Submitted and received bulletproof tracker, of sorts (unverified).
SirGabriel - Submitted Witch Doctor role (verified by Sabrar flip). Received third party role with vote buy and bulletproof to Mafia kill (unverified).
Some important points on the above:
* We do not know that Lawrencelot is Town, nor do we even know he is a researcher. He could be a Mafia rolecop or similar, who made up his result and just got the mpolo's alignment. He could also be a Mafia Researcher.
** Moody's alignment is unknown. He could be a Mafia gunsmith for example.
Both moody and Lawrencelot received their own roles, apparently, which means we have no way based on player submissions to know whether they are telling the truth. Obviously, the same goes for me, but I thought it worth pointing out that we cannot treat them as confirmed Town, even if we assume that there is only one scum. Either of them make sense as lone Mafia (they could of course have a team-mate) whose kill has failed both nights - N1 either because they targeted SirGabriel, or were roleblocked in moody's case, N2 because they targeted me.
I don't think the same can be said for either mpolo or matt, assuming that they aren't part of a team with at least one other mafia member.
SirGabriel has claimed that his role interacts with another player's role in some fashion:
SirGabriel wrote:I'll just say this: my win condition is tied to the win condition of one particular player, whom I do not wish to name at the moment. That player is currently lacking one of the typical powers associated with his role. Should he target me with the other power typical to that role, he will be granted the power he is now lacking.
Of the claims above, none of them particularly make sense to me in conjunction with this. The implication of his wording is that it's a fairly normal sort of role. It apparently has two aspects to it, at least one of which is a targeted ability. This clearly rules out both Sabrar and heuristically_alone's roles, which means (assuming SirG is being truthful) that he is in some way working with another player (possibly the other player does not know it). Also, his reluctance to explain more about it, and the fact that no player has claimed to have gained additional powers by targeting him suggests that he has a non-town partner (nobody seems to have suggested that they thought they were missing part of their power, nor do I see any obvious cases where they are missing a part based on the claims).
Possible candidates that I can think of:
1) Any Mafia role with an active ability, such as the Mafia cop, who cannot kill until they target him
2) The SK submitted by Matt, who has no kill until they target him
On the other claimed roles in the game:
1) I targeted him and received no bonus ability
2) Lawrencelot's claimed ability sounds like a custom ability and would not have a "typical" power (assuming town aligned)
3) mpolo's ability is straightforward and has only one aspect (assuming town aligned, doesn't look like he's missing any other).
4) moody's gunsmith usually only has one aspect (assuming town aligned).
5) matt's ability sounds unusual to me, mostly because of the public aspect to it, I can't really comment on it further, but if mpolo or matt want to shed some light on whether this could make sense, please do so.
I'm not really sure where this is getting me, to be honest. One thing I'm fairly confident of is that SirG is not a lone Mafia member, nor a Serial Killer, unless he withheld a kill N1, which seems unlikely. He could be part of a Mafia team with moody, which would explain the lack of kills on both nights (moody was blocked N1, SirG N2).
SirG seems convinced that there is no SK in the game any more. Part of his argument is that no role would make sense as a lover with the SK. However, I could see Madge changing a player's submitted win condition to work as a kind of SK team-mate (especially as they haven't outed themselves yet). I disagree with SirG's conclusion. However, I cannot see a way that an SK exists unless they either withheld their kill on N1 and/or SirG is lying. @Matt - do you know what would happen if your SK's lover was Town and therefore would have an incompatible win condition with the SK?
SirG also claimed to be Mafia-bulletproof N1. This would explain the kill if Mafia targeted him. However, (wine alert), would Mafia really target a self-claimed third-party N1? That is, unless they were missing a part of their ability and were trying to get it... Of course, assuming that a Mafia member had and used a kill N1, the only explanations I see are that mpolo successfully blocked it or one of SK!me or SK!SirG blocked it, but then who did we target N1? To me the simplest solution, from a logical point of view, is that moody is Mafia, was roleblocked N1, and targeted me N2. I don't find moody particularly scummy though, so I'm going to:Vote SirGabriel
(withholding vote due to ninja)
If his win condition is tied to that of an anti-town player, he is almost as dangerous as said anti-town player, assuming he has the vote buy as claimed. Further, lynching him is not going to lose Town anything, apart from the ability to lynch somebody else. His flip might also give us a clearer indication of what is going on, even if he isn't the SK or a mafia member - e.g. does he actually have the vote buy?
On the vote buy (assuming he has it as claimed), he used it D1 to vote for Sabrar, whilst his own vote was for moody. I have two possible theories relating to this: either he was trying to hide the fact that he had a vote buy at that point, but gave up when I pointed out the potential inconsistent claim, and/or he is in league with moody, bussed him a little, but knew he could probably save him with a late vote buy.
Ninja'ed by matt. Further thoughts and vote to follow.