My reads at this point, focus is on D2 content.
Bessie: I don’t think her interactions with PW were scummy, making good observations/prods. Townie with a secret santa caveat
Evil George Washington: Took a while to join D2. Shows up with reads that are generally inconclusive with (as Sabrar pointed out) very little scum. His defense that there aren’t any wagons to analyse and scum is hiding is weak. George feels pretty scummy.
Freezeblade: His content is pretty sparse. Mostly talking about masons D1 and a few posts D2, the most notable being the claim. I agree with Sabrar that truthfully claiming the roleblock as scum makes little sense. So I’d prefer to lynch Madge before freezeblade.
LaserGuy: I’m getting a pretty strong townie feel from LaserGuy. His push on heury was natural and his behaviour around the lynch felt very townie. [one exception, after looking at the wam wagon (see below), is LaserGuy’s blind jump onto that wagon. He looks a little too eager to lynch there. Voting first and asking questions later.]
Madge: Probably scum. She’s a lot more aware of the game, didn’t breadcrumb her vig and someone once told me Madge always breadcrumbs.
Madge or freezeblade?
Scum-scum: made up story, goal?
Town-Scum: why would freezeblade claim the block? Makes no sense
Scum-town: madge is scum and used a power and noticed she was blocked (which possible powers? NK?)
I’d lynch Madge, if she’s town, so’s Freezeblade. If she’s scum he may still be her buddy, but I don’t really understand the plan. So generally I think freezeblade is likely town and madge is a good lynch.
Sabrar: Sabrar feels pretty townie. His progression on Zen is natural. I don’t see scum!Sabrar dropping the town!Zen lynch today and they don’t feel aligned at all.
Sabrar wrote: (also don't think Madge is scum but I could be totally wrong there).
This is interesting, it’s been a while since I saw Sabrar without a solid early read on Madge. (I think this says more about Madge than about Sabrar).
Somitomi: his claim feels pretty townie, although it loses some value for being after the flashing hot pink post from Vicarin earlier. It’s an easy false claim for scum to make as it’s no-risk for them. D2 has been light and confused. I’m pretty much null on Somi.
Intermezzo: Reading Vicarin I realise I’m pretty confused by the wam wagon. I haven’t read wam yet today (blame the alphabet) but I’ve noticed a wagon on him but barely a case. I don’t know why people voted him.
Heury started pushing wam based on a misinterpretation
Zen does a reverse on wam
(from scum read to town read, right?)
with wam on the day ending powers
Wam shows up heury’s scum
team and Zen’s lynch pool
Sabrar votes wam
Vicarin supports a wam lynch
out of the blue.
LaserGuy votes wam
out of the blue, just really eager to lynch.
Sabrar’s reason to vote wam
doesn’t include wam
Vicarin votes wam
after Laser and Sabrar have moved to heuristically alone. (I misremembered this I guess, I thought there were 3 votes on wam at some point) Interesting to note should heuristically alone flip scum.
Madge votes wam
because she believes heury’s claim that Sabrar is town and Sabrar wanted to vote wam (earlier)
A pretty weird wagon that didn’t feel very evidence based. At least heury and Zen’s wagons had proper scum reads behind them.
Vicarin: See above analysis: his motivation and timing for jumping on the wam wagon feels very weak and more opportunistic than madge voting Zen to l-3 at the end of D1 thinking he’s been caught in a lie.
Time to find out what’s so scummy about:
wam wrote:Full analysis I did on sunday saved on laptop at home. Basically I agree on Zen but I think there is a 1% chance of it not being a single use power. Do we want to do other lynches first and Zen at the end of the day.
I believe we still haven’t seen this full analysis. I assume wam has been home by now? @wam:I’d like this full analysis to be your next post.
Other than that wam’s content has been light, featuring two statements
that aren’t as insightful as they seem.
On the scummy side, but I’m still wary of that wagon
Zen: highly likely town, despite the fact that he faked the use of a power.
This whole pressure thing favored scum a huge amount because we were scrambling (noted originally by PW
Initiated by town, this pressure thing also has scum scrambling which is what I assume Zen’s goal was. Wagon analysis on wam an heury will be very interesting tomorrow.
Evil George Washington
Scumvote: Evil George Washington