I understand that some of the things in here might seem pointless to mention. This is mostly for quick (yeah right) reference for me, but I’m putting it on here in case it brings up things which could potentially prove useful later on.
Kolko: Kolko only really has a handful of posts (not that I’m one to talk), and there isn’t really much info to get from them. The only thing that I found worth mentioning was that s/he mentioned that “If the cop didn’t claim, then we wouldn’t know who the scum were”. While technically true, we can still make educated guesses as to who’s scummy and who’s not.
No reason to suspect right now.
Gregoryn: When Game_boy votes Psycho Goose for joke voting him, Greg replies “Because Goose is obviously scum!” May be a joke, may be an early conclusion. It’s also worth noting that this is his first post in some time. He (I kinda determine gender based on avatars sometimes, please correct me if I make a mistake) also has the whole shifty eyes thing, but I think that that’s extremely trivial.
Again, I don’t see much of a reason to suspect him yet.
EDIT (not a real edit, though, since I wrote this up in Microsoft word.): In light of this post: http://forums.xkcd.com/viewtopic.php?f=53&t=45241&start=40#p1789922
, (namely, that it seems to have been edited, as Phoenix brought to attention) Gregoryn seems more suspicious than I originally thought. Not that it matters, since he’ll probably be modkilled before long, but hopefully we get some new info out of this.
Angua: The first one to post, and misinterprets the opening flavor. She admits her mistake when cf corrects it, though. Angua also brings up Greg’s “shifty eyes”, but he/she makes it a bigger deal than I think is reasonable. When Goose discussion votes her/him, s/he replies right away and asks why. Instead of and OMGUS, though, Angua then votes for Gregoryn in the same post, probably for the reasons stated earlier.
More suspicious than the previous two people. I might look into it more if something else comes up, but right now Angua seems townie enough.
AngrySquirrel: Has been generally helpful the entire game. In her first post she discusses cop/doc claiming strategy, and explains the “breadcrumbs” bit. In her next post she votes for me, but I understand her reasoning entirely, and she unvoted right after I replied. She also explains the reason for the mafia roleblocker in scenario #2. (Note: There is the possibility of there being NO Cop or Doctor in this game. Take any and all roleclaims with a grain of salt.) Later mentions suspicion on McCaber/Game_boy (Strangely not me, but I’m not complaining), as well as Psycho Goose. Mentions that if Game_boy turns out to be scum, she would look into Phoenix’s posts (even though Phoenix voted for him before).
Conclusion: AngrySquirrel has been a great help to the town, and gave good advice to us humble newbies. The only reason for mafia to help out the town that much would be A.) Because this is a newbie game and she wanted to help the newer members out, or B.) She’s extremely over confident. If she’s scum, she’s doing a really good job at it
Flying_Cookie: Mentions Phoenix’s claim, and suggests that it should be treated as a joke (but also list an amount of other, more complex possibilities). Brings up suspicion on Phoenix for arguing with her discussion votes. Later decides to bring up the topic of voting, and says that he’s suspicious of Phoenix and Goose, but that he’s not quite as suspicious of goose. Votes for me (again, I understand the reasoning), but he or she brings up that my second in-game post was just repeating what was said, which I disagree with.
cellery wrote:However, I think that, assuming he/she does find scum, that the cop should try to claim before LYLO, if at all possible. If we reach LYLO and the cop claims just then, there's almost definitely going to be a scum counter-claim, and we won't know for sure who the real cop is until it's already too late.
Sure, some of what I said was said before, but this part is different. At the time, people were discussing about how if it’s LYLO, then the cop should definitely claim. I counter that notion, explaining the problems with that. This is not just repeating what was said. But I digress.
After Sungura votes for Psycho Goose, Flying_Cookie says that he doesn’t suspect him much.
He did misread my post, but that’s an easy mistake for anyone to make. Unless Psycho Goose were to come up scum, I see no real reason to suspect Flying_Cookie.
Cellery: After looking at his posts I found nothing worth mentioning. Carry on. (Really though, I kinda find it counter-productive for someone to look at his own posts when trying to look for possible scum-tells. Not so much because there’s no reason to, because you should definitely read your own post, but because they are at least a little bit biased on the matter. If anyone wants to analyze my posts, go ahead.)
Psycho Goose: Hoo, boy. Half of this guy’s posts are a joke. Really. He could be muddying the waters, he could just be having too much fun for the town’s good. However, the posts that actually take things seriously were the ones I thought I had to mention. He does start up the discussion on what the doc/cop should do as far as claiming goes, that’s good. Also replies to Phoenix’s infamous claim, says that he thinks that it’s a joke. During the AS/Phoenix debate, he mentions how no-lynch is bad. Then he brings back
the cop/doc discussion (maybe he was trying to distract us from the current argument?). Says that he doesn’t really suspect anyone, but (kinda) suspects phoenix, and mentions Greg and myself (for being silent). Brings up lynch-a-lurker, but he doesn’t want to start a bandwagon. When it’s brought up, he questions his water-muddying (but for all I know this could be another joke). After being voted for, brings up a mistake/oversight that Sungura made.
Without all the joke posts, there are still some things that would be worth looking into. However, it is true that he’s been muddying the waters, so at the moment he seems more likely to be scum than the other people on this list.
Phoenix: Early on s/he mentions that s/he believes that the setup is the one with two goons, because of the flavor. Then in his/her next post, there’s the whole “I’m town” claim. After AS tries to get discussion going by voting McCaber (and earlier me), he jumps on her. (It may be worth to mention that s/he did this after McCaber was voted, although it could be just after the second person was voted, too) S/He continues to put suspicion on AS in later posts, as well as suggest a no-lynch, despite the reasons why not to. Then he says that the no-lynch idea was based purely on numbers, and that he overreacted a bit. Votes for McCaber for lurking, (changes his vote when it turns out that McCaber’s been replaced). Then s/he questions AngrySquirrel’s Phoenix/Game_boy connection, since Phoenix voted for Game_boy not much earlier than that.
Phoenix seems to jump the gun a bit, which is normally a scum tell. But despite this, I’d still like more evidence to come up before voting.