EMTP wrote:Zcorp wrote:Heck most of it is about Russia economy being strong than the EU's, EMTP's statement doesn't even express understanding of that at all.
It doesn't happen to be true that Russia's economy is stronger than the EU's. And the article does not say that. And even if it did, I'm certainly not under any obligation to summarize the content of a link point by point. The link is there so that you can read the article and draw your own conclusions.
I posit that it doesn't matter. Russia is not fighting the whole EU. That's not a reasonable outcome of this. The EU isn't even willing to get particularly aggressive with sanctions, or willing to throw, say, arms at Ukraine. They are not gonna all fight it out with Russia. Total economic size is interesting, but it's not going to determine the outcome here. In Russia vs Ukraine, the likely victor is clear, regardless of if you measure GDP or troops.
Yeah, sometimes underdogs win, but usually it's because they have great unity, lots of experience, better equipment, or other edges. These seem unlikely to apply in this situation.
Good news is, Eastern Ukraine doesn't seem to have a groundswell of support for Russia, even with all the instigation. The increased focus in the wake of the Crimean incident makes it a little harder to plausibly move in troops, so the question is mostly how much of a worldwide PR hit does Putin want to take? It probably isn't THAT big a cost all in all, and my guess is if he's gone this far, he's likely willing to go a bit further. He'll push until further gains look too expensive, then declare victory and wait for the next opportunity for expansion to arise.