Mutex wrote:Well, my strategy of refusing to get my hopes up seems to be paying off.
I wonder if the GOP will take this as a clear warning shot and rethink their deeply unpopular tax bill. I mean, what could be a clearer warning than losing Alabama? Somehow I doubt they'll take heed though. More likely they'll rush even harder to get as much passed as possible before Jones takes his seat.
Why would they? Moore didn't lose because of the tax bill or anything else the GOP is doing right now... according to all of the polls, the people of Alabama agree with him overwhelmingly on most issues. He lost because he was outed as being a sexual predator towards children - and it was still incredibly close.
So yeah, on the one hand it was a major victory for the democrats to win a seat in a deeply
conservative state... but on the other hand, they just barely won against a complete and utter creep who preyed on children, and who had members of his own party asking him to withdraw, some actually endorsing his opponent. Moore practically went into hiding the final week of the campaign, which probably cost him a percentage point by itself.
In other words, a win is a win, but it's risky to put too much meaning into this particular result, especially in regards to actual issues. This was mostly about Moore being a piece of shit.
Moving back to the tax bill... the GOP is betting that their tax plan will boost the economy in a way that will get them votes, even if it's unpopular now. They're worried right now that backlash against Trump is going to hurt them in the midterms. But if they pass this bill and it really does boost the economy, they're hoping that will be enough to keep some seats. The bill is already unpopular; they're banking on the results changing peoples minds. The Moore thing doesn't change any of that.