Moderators: gmalivuk, Moderators General, Prelates
I said "STEM majors are rarely the ones providing those things". Which means, of the people providing those things, only a small portion are STEM majors. Which means P(STEM|artist) is small, if "artist" is taken to mean "the ones providing those things".gorcee wrote:I don't see how P(STEM|artist) comes into play at all.
What do you mean "normalized", other than to make the probabilities conditional, which was already done?I'm saying that P(artist|STEM) and P(artist|Humanities), when normalized by student population, is probably pretty close.
gmalivuk wrote:I said "STEM majors are rarely the ones providing those things". Which means, of the people providing those things, only a small portion are STEM majors. Which means P(STEM|artist) is small, if "artist" is taken to mean "the ones providing those things".gorcee wrote:I don't see how P(STEM|artist) comes into play at all.
gmalivuk wrote:gorcee wrote:What do you mean "normalized", other than to make the probabilities conditional, which was already done?I'm saying that P(artist|STEM) and P(artist|Humanities), when normalized by student population, is probably pretty close.
And I'd strongly suspect that you are wrong there. Humanities majors, while still not especially likely to become artists, are still probably more likely to become artists than STEM majors.
gmalivuk wrote:P(STEM|artist)
gorcee wrote:Because the number of humanities majors is larger than the number of STEM majors, the statistical likelihood of a humanities major becoming an artist is probably much closer to the statistical likelihood of an engineer. Or, in other words, P(STEM|artist) * POP(STEM) is probably going to be a number that is much closer to P(Humanities|artist) * POP(humanities) than you might think.
Dason wrote:gorcee wrote:Because the number of humanities majors is larger than the number of STEM majors, the statistical likelihood of a humanities major becoming an artist is probably much closer to the statistical likelihood of an engineer. Or, in other words, P(STEM|artist) * POP(STEM) is probably going to be a number that is much closer to P(Humanities|artist) * POP(humanities) than you might think.
What? Didn't we already establish that P(Humanities|artist) > P(Stem|artist). Now you're saying Pop(Humanities) > Pop(Stem)
How exactly does that give us P(Humanities|artist) * Pop(Humanities) ≈ P(Stem|artist) * Pop(Stem)? It seems to me you're putting both of the larger quantities on one side which won't give approximately equality.
No, you're still contradicting yourself. The probability, P(artist|major), that a single [whatever] major will become an artist is the same as the percentage of all [whatever] majors who will become artists. That is, in fact, the only way we could in practice compute said probability in the first place. If each humanities major has a 1 in 1000 chance of being an artist, then we'd expect 0.1% of humanities majors to become artists. If each STEM major has a 1 in 10,000 chance, then we'd expect 0.01% of STEM majors to become artists.gorcee wrote:that although the probability of a single humanities major becoming an artist might be higher (because of his or her training in that field), the percentage of of humanities majors that become artists is probably not that much larger than the percentage of STEM majors who do the same.
No. The confusion comes from you repeatedly contradicting yourself. (I do find it ironic that the one arguing for the greater utility of STEM over humanities is the one who keeps messing up the math...)Perhaps the confusion comes from my casual use of the word "probability."
That is the likelihood that any given artist is a STEM major. Or, put another way, the approximate fraction of artists who are STEM majors. The other way around, P(artist|STEM), is the likelihood that any given STEM major becomes an artist, or the approximate fraction of STEM majors who become artists.Dream wrote:I'm an artist what is thisgmalivuk wrote:P(STEM|artist)
Then please, for the love of Pasta, stop making such stupid claims.KestrelLowing wrote:Obviously I don't have any real evidence for this
The average person is probably not employed directly in their major, apart from very specific marketable degrees like computer science. I doubt it's terribly different based on which of these two broad categories a person fits into. (And if you include actual art/music majors in the humanities, then I suspect the average shifts more in the opposite direction, because a lot of the people who major specifically in, say, piano, go on to make a living doing something piano related.)I feel like the average humanities major is not employed in their major.
Unless you count all the ones who've ever built their own stuff for musical purposes, of course.but there aren't tons of musicians who are engineering on the side.
gmalivuk wrote:gorcee wrote:that although the probability of a single humanities major becoming an artist might be higher (because of his or her training in that field), the percentage of of humanities majors that become artists is probably not that much larger than the percentage of STEM majors who do the same.
No, you're still contradicting yourself. The probability, P(artist|major), that a single [whatever] major will become an artist is the same as the percentage of all [whatever] majors who will become artists. That is, in fact, the only way we could in practice compute said probability in the first place. If each humanities major has a 1 in 1000 chance of being an artist, then we'd expect 0.1% of humanities majors to become artists. If each STEM major has a 1 in 10,000 chance, then we'd expect 0.01% of STEM majors to become artists.
KestrelLowing wrote:I think I can give a decent idea of what the average STEM major does
KestrelLowing wrote:The average STEM major will probably end up [doing all kinds of shit]
KestrelLowing wrote:can someone give a decent idea of what the average humanities major does?
gmalivuk wrote:Then please, for the love of Pasta, stop making such stupid claims.KestrelLowing wrote:Obviously I don't have any real evidence for this
gmalivuk wrote:The average person is probably not employed directly in their major, apart from very specific marketable degrees like computer science. I doubt it's terribly different based on which of these two broad categories a person fits into. (And if you include actual art/music majors in the humanities, then I suspect the average shifts more in the opposite direction, because a lot of the people who major specifically in, say, piano, go on to make a living doing something piano related.)I feel like the average humanities major is not employed in their major.
gmalivuk wrote:Unless you count all the ones who've ever built their own stuff for musical purposes, of course.but there aren't tons of musicians who are engineering on the side.
I remember sitting in an anthro class having the professor explain how education isn't about marketable skills and shouldn't look at it through the lens of economics, thinking to myself "I probably just spent $150 dollars on this lecture". You can't ask students to not look at education as a marketplace, when the university is looking at its students that way (particularly at the undergraduate level).doogly wrote:Ah yes, the liberal arts and employment have an iffy relationship. "Education is not purely about marketable skills! Treating people as a mere means to an economic end is dehumanizing! By the way, here's your tremendous debt, sucka."
Yakk wrote:The question the thought experiment I posted is aimed at answering: When falling in a black hole, do you see the entire universe's future history train-car into your ass, or not?
Then you're using "rarely" in a very different way than I was. For me, if non-STEM artists outnumber STEM artists 10 to 1, it's perfectly valid to say artists are rarely STEM majors.gorcee wrote:the statement of "STEM majors rarely produce these things" is fallacious. So, maybe it's 5:1. Maybe it's 10:1. But I contend that number of STEM majors who go on to create artsy things is a sufficient percentage of the total number of new artist types each year that it is wrong to say that STEM majors rarely create those things.
Are you seriously claiming that a literature major who goes on to teach literature is somehow *not* working in their fieldKestrelLowing wrote:A literature major is not going to find anything besides teaching on some level that will pay the bills.
doogly wrote:Ah yes, the liberal arts and employment have an iffy relationship. "Education is not purely about marketable skills! Treating people as a mere means to an economic end is dehumanizing! By the way, here's your tremendous debt, sucka."
This is not true universally, of course, but there is a lot of doublespeak that happens.
KestrelLowing wrote:That is something I didn't think about, and also about the artists that do large sculptures and stuff that would require some engineering. Question: for things like those random modern art sculptures you see all over college campuses (sorry, not a big fan. I don't understand modern art) do they personally do any engineering? Do they bring someone in? Or do they just kind of hope and pray it won't fall (I'm assuming not as that would probably be illegal or something)?
No. Logically, the reason for spending a bunch of money on *anything* is that you think the thing is worth that much money. *One* form this can take is in expected monetary return, but that's far from the only possible way a thing can have worth.KestrelLowing wrote:Logically, the reason for spending a bunch of money on your degree is so that you can make that back and more when you graduate.
gorcee wrote:So, again, my point isn't to say that STEM majors represent a majority of art creation positions, or even a representative minority. Just a sufficiently large number that the "rare" qualifier is inappropriate.
KestrelLowing wrote:A literature major is not going to find anything besides teaching on some level that will pay the bills.
KestrelLowing wrote:If you've got a plan and a reasonable expectation to be able to carry out that plan, I really don't have an issue with whatever major you choose. … Logically, the reason for spending a bunch of money on your degree is so that you can make that back and more when you graduate. While everyone says that education is so much more than that (and I would agree) the problem is that you're going into major debt for it unless you manage to score some good scholarships or you're independently wealthy.
KestrelLowing wrote:I've had to suffer through a lot more humanities crap than humanities people have to suffer through STEM crap. While the world obviously isn't fair, we could change that.
gmalivuk wrote:No. Logically, the reason for spending a bunch of money on *anything* is that you think the thing is worth that much money. *One* form this can take is in expected monetary return, but that's far from the only possible way a thing can have worth.KestrelLowing wrote:Logically, the reason for spending a bunch of money on your degree is so that you can make that back and more when you graduate.
Which is, coincidentally, *also* not something people do solely because they expect future monetary profit.gorcee wrote:almost as big a financial decision as buying a house
TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:gorcee wrote:So, again, my point isn't to say that STEM majors represent a majority of art creation positions, or even a representative minority. Just a sufficiently large number that the "rare" qualifier is inappropriate.
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So you are talking about P(STEM|artist)?
gmalivuk wrote:Which is, coincidentally, *also* not something people do solely because they expect future monetary profit.gorcee wrote:almost as big a financial decision as buying a house
gmalivuk wrote:I'm pretty sure realtors know quite a lot already about the various reasons people buy houses, without my needing to break physics to tell them.
As for your other argument, it would have been a lot less confusing if you'd just come right out and said at the beginning that you don't think 1 in 10 counts as "rare" and been done with it, instead of contradicting yourself repeatedly with bad math in the meantime.
gorcee wrote:My point, and Kestrel's point, is that people NEED to consider the financial impact of their college decision.
I didn't have any particular number in mind, other than that it was a small minority. And I'd say 10% is a fairly small minority.gorcee wrote:And I would have done that, had you actually said 1 in 10 prior to a couple hours ago
"Arguing rhetorically" doesn't absolve you of the obligation to make logically consistent statements.and had I been doing actual math, instead of trying to argue rhetorically.
Puppyclaws wrote:I am going to largely ignore the trope that despite the history of the university as a place of learning for learning's own sake, we should now regard it as a job training facility. This is a flawed way of looking at education, but it is also very common. Even many STEM majors doesn't make sense if your only goal is ROI.
I am going to attempt to simultaneously answer the "what are you going to do with that?" handwringing and the charge that almost nobody becomes an artist. First of all, you have to understand the arts as a larger field. A limited number of people are going to become self-sufficient artists, but the support positions around them are also filled almost entirely by people with degrees in fields like English, History, and Art. Publishing houses, museums, music venues, film studios. Anybody working in any one of these places is undeniably working "in the arts." If you only understand "working in the arts" as being an artist whose income is 100% from creating art, or if you conclude that you can only say that you are working in your field as a philosophy major if your income is entirely from publishing tracts on philosophy, then you are failing to understand what liberal arts education is.
gmalivuk wrote:I didn't have any particular number in mind, other than that it was a small minority. And I'd say 10% is a fairly small minority.gorcee wrote:And I would have done that, had you actually said 1 in 10 prior to a couple hours ago"Arguing rhetorically" doesn't absolve you of the obligation to make logically consistent statements.and had I been doing actual math, instead of trying to argue rhetorically.
TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:KestrelLowing wrote:A literature major is not going to find anything besides teaching on some level that will pay the bills.
I'm sure my lit major friend at Bain & Company will be sorry to hear that.
TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:KestrelLowing wrote:If you've got a plan and a reasonable expectation to be able to carry out that plan, I really don't have an issue with whatever major you choose. … Logically, the reason for spending a bunch of money on your degree is so that you can make that back and more when you graduate. While everyone says that education is so much more than that (and I would agree) the problem is that you're going into major debt for it unless you manage to score some good scholarships or you're independently wealthy.
Ok. So if you mean to criticize people who are mistaken in their investments, why are you using the words "humanities majors"? That's not what those words mean.
TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:KestrelLowing wrote:I've had to suffer through a lot more humanities crap than humanities people have to suffer through STEM crap. While the world obviously isn't fair, we could change that.
If you think a degree should be useful, I don't see why discipline equity should be a criterion in planning general education requirements. Humanities skills tend to be more transferable than STEM skills — engineers still have to write, but writers rarely have to engineer. Thus, it makes sense to require more humanities training for STEM people than STEM training for humanities people. (Your university probably uses reasoning like this. Do you really think that Michigan Tech is biased in favor of the humanities?)
TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:Humanities skills tend to be more transferable than STEM skills — engineers still have to write, but writers rarely have to engineer. Thus, it makes sense to require more humanities training for STEM people than STEM training for humanities people. (Your university probably uses reasoning like this. Do you really think that Michigan Tech is biased in favor of the humanities?)
KestrelLowing wrote:Yeah, but that's not exactly a literature company. I was referring to the point previously made that a piano major will work with pianos because it is feasible to gain a (small) income from teaching and from some gigs. A literature major will not really be able to be in literature unless they're an amazing author (very rare) or they teach. There just aren't "literature" jobs.
KestrelLowing wrote:TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:Ok. So if you mean to criticize people who are mistaken in their investments, why are you using the words "humanities majors"? That's not what those words mean.
No, but if someone wants to go to college just to go to college or to get an MRS degree and they choose a STEM field, I've got a lot more respect for them because while they don't really want to be there, they are at least making a good choice towards their future as a job directly dealing with STEM majors are more likely than those dealing directly with humanities majors. While I don't like when they do that because then they're in my classes being annoying, they at least showed some forethought.
doogly wrote:Ah, this is a very hated thing! It is a conceit of humanities folks that their criteria for good writing and communicating are universal. Smash these notions with a hammer.
Again: are you seriously claiming that teaching literature is not a "literature" job?KestrelLowing wrote:There just aren't "literature" jobs.
gmalivuk wrote:Again: are you seriously claiming that teaching literature is not a "literature" job?KestrelLowing wrote:There just aren't "literature" jobs.
KestrelLowing wrote:Yeah, but that's not exactly a literature company. I was referring to the point previously made that a piano major will work with pianos because it is feasible to gain a (small) income from teaching and from some gigs. A literature major will not really be able to be in literature unless they're an amazing author (very rare) or they teach. There just aren't "literature" jobs.
TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:doogly wrote:Ah, this is a very hated thing! It is a conceit of humanities folks that their criteria for good writing and communicating are universal. Smash these notions with a hammer.
My experience with writing in STEM courses is that STEM majors treat it as a sign that the course has been dumbed-down for humanities majors.
TheGrammarBolshevik wrote:Sure. But this contradicts your claim that "There just aren't 'literature' jobs," which is what gmal was responding to.
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