Storylines in the book:
- King's Landing: Joffrey is poisoned, Tyrion takes the blame, Jaime makes it to King's landing and is awesome, Oberyn!, Tyrion kills Tywin.
- Jon leaves the wildlings, takes the lead in the battle vs the wildlings, and is made Lord Commander.
- Sansa and Littlefinger go to the Eyrie, Littlefinger kills Lysa.
- Arya kills the Tickler, leaves the Hound to die, and boards a ship to Braavos.
- Davos convinces Stannis to aid the Night's Watch.
- Bran helps Jon escape the wildlings, Sam helps Bran pass under the wall
- Dany takes Meereen.
Everyone in King's Landing is getting their face time. Jon's getting his face time. Sansa and Littlefinger are getting their face time. But we are going to see a lot of thumb-twiddling from Arya, Davos, Bran, Sam, Dany, and Theon. What plot might be added to justify giving those actors star billing?
Arya: develop her relationship with the Hound, her warging ability, her journey to Braavos, her arrival at the House of Black and White.
Davos & Stannis: Perhaps Stannis will arrive at the wall relatively early in the season, and they'll add in some stuff from Book 5?
Bran: I am really curious how they're going to handle Bran's storyline for the rest of the series...
Dany: Dany/Daario/Jorah love triangle drama?
Theon: Possibly jump all the way to book 5 stuff and show Theon taking Moat Cailin from his sister's men? They'll likely have to show some Iron Island background stuff first.
My best guess on the chronology:
Joffrey and Margaery's wedding ~ episode 2
Sansa and Littlefinger sail to the Eyrie ~ episode 3
Jaime arrives in King's Landing ~ episode 4
Jaime asserts himself ~ episodes 5-7
Oberyn vs Clegane ~ episode 8
Jaime frees Tyrion ~ episode 9
Jon leaves the wildlings ~ episode 2
Wildling vs Night's Watch round 1, Sam helps Bran cross under the wall ~ episodes 3-5
Jon imprisoned for being a traitor ~ episode 6
Massive battle, Stannis shows up ~ episode 7
Jon made Lord Commander ~ episode 9
The Hound is wounded ~ episode 5
Arya sails to Braavos ~ episode 8
Sansa and Littlefinger arrive in the Eyrie ~ episode 5
Littlefinger marries Lysa ~ episode 6
Littlefinger kills Lysa ~ episode 10
Dany takes Meereen ~ episode 9