yedidyak wrote:The 'facts on the ground' are not actually changing anything, there is only building in already long established settled areas, not in new ones.
Also, Israel's government isn't so incredibly right wing as you describe. The ultra-religious parts of it, Shas, UTJ etc are not actually Zionist, UTJ even anti-Zionist. Shas has supported land-for-peace in the past. Lieberman may well be racist, but even he is for land for peace, just he wants to give Arab parts of Israel inside the Green Line as part of that land. Likud has been moving steadily leftwards for ever. And there is also Barak's new party, which is clearly left wing.
(Left / Right all in Israeli political terms - different from general Left/Right)
As to the Palestinians getting their shit together, its just not happening. The Fatah President and Fatah PM aren't on speaking terms any more. The elections have been pushed off again, meaning that Abbas's mandate ran out years ago which gives Hamas their excuse to do stuff like execute people without his permission. Hamas just held secret elections electing Haniyeh - who is in open confrontation with the Hamas outside leadership, itself looking for a new home. The latest Qatari sponsored unity deal between Fatah and Hamas collapsed within hours because Hamas-Gaza wouldn't accept a deal agreed by Hamas-Syria. Hamas still sticks to the line of 'the best we will ever offer is a temporary truce, never peace.'
So while Israel's good-faith in negotiations is debatable, the current feeling in Israel is that there really is no one to speak to. 'There is no partner' in the local political jargon. And nobody from any party except Meretz disputes this.
Israel is starting to gear up for elections with a date probably being set in the next week or two. For the first time in decades the Palestinian issue just isn't an issue.
Of course they're changing things -- X people are easier to move than X+Y people. Not to mention Israel's recent legalization of otherwise illegal outposts, together with Israel's generally blind eye towards illegal outposts essentially cements the current administration's aims vis a vis the Palestinians.
As for Shas previously supporting land-for-peace. Everybody and their mother has "supported" land for peace. It just often happens to be political posturing to look good while doing things like expanding settlements.
Just like Lieberman "supports" land-for-peace: in ways that he knows are untenable practically.
As far as the Palestinians -- there's always going to be internal political shifts, rifts, alliances, and whatever. A quick look at Israel should make that pretty obvious. The idea that Abbas's mandate somehow "gives" Hamas any sort of excuse is just silly: we both know Hamas finds "excuses" one way or another.
What's relevant is that the Palestinians (in terms of the West Bank, anyway -- Hamastan is a different story altogether) are largely abiding by what would be expected of them in peace negotiations -- Israel is not.