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GangsterFiction wrote:My point? Maybe being kept in the dark is precisely what made those "the good old days". . .
mosc wrote:I think it is allowing young people without the benefits of longer periods of life to draw experience from to be treated as adults. It is also making lots of people into Journalists who are both completely unqualified by traditional standards and who do not strive to remove their own bias.
Bertrand Russell wrote:Not to be absolutely certain is, I think, one of the essential things in rationality.
Richard Feynman & many others wrote:Keep an open mind – but not so open that your brain falls out
jules.LT wrote:mosc wrote:I think it is allowing young people without the benefits of longer periods of life to draw experience from to be treated as adults. It is also making lots of people into Journalists who are both completely unqualified by traditional standards and who do not strive to remove their own bias.
I don't know about that. It seems to me that experienced people are just as likely to be set in their ways and less open to ideas outside their entrenched biases.
In the "good old days", people strongly believed in ideologies such as communism, fascism, etc. They were incredibly ethnocentric in their views by today's standards. Authorities (political, scientific, religious or other) had a much stronger power to weed out dissenting opinions, etc.
These were simpler times, and therefore much more reassuring. But also much more biased.

mosc wrote:Nope, I pretty much disagree with all of that. People believed in ideologies just about exactly as much as they always have. Ideologies come and go but the level of believe is consistent throughout history in my opinion. Authorities in the "good old days" were not stronger.
Bertrand Russell wrote:Not to be absolutely certain is, I think, one of the essential things in rationality.
Richard Feynman & many others wrote:Keep an open mind – but not so open that your brain falls out
HungryHobo wrote:GangsterFiction wrote:My point? Maybe being kept in the dark is precisely what made those "the good old days". . .
ignorance is bliss after all.
mosc wrote:jules.LT wrote:mosc wrote:I think it is allowing young people without the benefits of longer periods of life to draw experience from to be treated as adults. It is also making lots of people into Journalists who are both completely unqualified by traditional standards and who do not strive to remove their own bias.
I don't know about that. It seems to me that experienced people are just as likely to be set in their ways and less open to ideas outside their entrenched biases.
In the "good old days", people strongly believed in ideologies such as communism, fascism, etc. They were incredibly ethnocentric in their views by today's standards. Authorities (political, scientific, religious or other) had a much stronger power to weed out dissenting opinions, etc.
These were simpler times, and therefore much more reassuring. But also much more biased.
Authorities in the "good old days" were not stronger.
PhoenixEnigma wrote:Jumble is either the best or worst Santa ever, and I can't figure out which. Possibly both.
jules.LT wrote:You don't believe that postmodernity exists?
You don't believe that ethnocentrism has decreased significantly as peoples have learnt more and more about each other?
You don't believe that authorities have less control on people's thoughts in the information age?
Then I can do nothing for you.
Really? Nancy wigging about with the astrology wasn't a big deal?wumpus wrote:Note that much of the sense of doom that now exists is likely centered around complete lack of trust of the authorities. Thirty years ago public thought (at least in the US) was molded such that doom was largely based on fear of Russian action (although fear of Reagan pushing the button was easily second. He was crazy enough that they couldn't edit this completely out).
They don't. What they imply are precisely the kinds of societal changes jules.LT meant for them to imply.wumpus wrote:I fail to see how these statements imply a non-existence of a sense of doom.
wumpus wrote:endless exponential creep of world population
Bertrand Russell wrote:Not to be absolutely certain is, I think, one of the essential things in rationality.
Richard Feynman & many others wrote:Keep an open mind – but not so open that your brain falls out
c_programmer wrote:(give me the name of your great, great, great grandfather on either side of you think I'm wrong).
jules.LT wrote:As for the population itself, estimates put its peak between 9 and 10 billion between 2050 and 2100, so not "endless" either.
Were you under the impression anyone here didn't know that? What that analysis ignores is that x can average out to 1.0 (successfully reproducing) child per person, for a constant population size, or less than 1, for a decreasing population.wumpus wrote:The definition of an exponential function is one where growth is a function of size (i.e. one where each human produces x kids).
Why were you not in school that day? I remember hearing about it in the hall between classes.webzter_again wrote:I was born in '77...Heck, we got cable for the very first time... on January 28th, 1986. The cable guy finished up around 11:15 and then stuck around to watch the shuttle launch with us.
wumpus wrote:Last I heard, infant mortality is steeply falling in Africa: expect the population to rise again. Also, a huge part of that has to be the Chinese zero reproduction rights program. While it is working well now (the people grew the economy instead of the population) it will get nasty once the pre-1 kid population gets old and all 4 grandparents expect to be supported by a single grandkid. It will be hard to convince other places to expect Chinese reproductive controls.
Western Europe's stabilization (and the US seems to largely grow by immigration and immigrant's kids) is a hope for humanity, Malthus isn't going anywhere soon.
Bertrand Russell wrote:Not to be absolutely certain is, I think, one of the essential things in rationality.
Richard Feynman & many others wrote:Keep an open mind – but not so open that your brain falls out
Jorpho wrote:It seems reasonable to suggest that it is easy to come up with a grim outlook of the future in general at this point: ruthless bipartisanship in the US, financial meltdowns, global warming, fossil fuel depletion, ignorance ruling the day, and so on and so forth.
So, a question:did things seemwas it comparatively easy to see things as just as utterly hopeless back in the 80's? Reagan in the White House with his wife planning things by astrology, the looming threat of the Cold War, Iran-Contra, the Savings & Loan crisis, and probably a whole bunch of other things that I was too young to appreciate at the time?
oxoiron wrote:Why were you not in school that day? I remember hearing about it in the hall between classes.webzter_again wrote:I was born in '77...Heck, we got cable for the very first time... on January 28th, 1986. The cable guy finished up around 11:15 and then stuck around to watch the shuttle launch with us.
cphite wrote:Jorpho wrote:It seems reasonable to suggest that it is easy to come up with a grim outlook of the future in general at this point: ruthless bipartisanship in the US, financial meltdowns, global warming, fossil fuel depletion, ignorance ruling the day, and so on and so forth.
But all of those things have been happening for a really, really, really long time. There has always been partisanship in politics; there have been financial meltdowns; there has been fear of climate change (in both directions - in the 70's it was believed we were heading for a global freeze); there have been shortages of things like food, fuel, and so forth; and ignorance isn't a new phenomenon.
pyronius wrote:there's always been partisanship, but supposedly its currently at an all time high (or at least a 25 year high).
gmalivuk wrote:No, it had just been quite a long time since we were "hit" in the contiguous 48 (or fewer, as the case was during prior wars on American soil).
morriswalters wrote: Prior to the end of the Civil War large conflicts were Army to Army.
wumpus wrote:morriswalters wrote: Prior to the end of the Civil War large conflicts were Army to Army.
While the armies in the US Civil War largely fought each other, there were certainly enough "civilian" attacks on one another (this is likely true for every civil war/revolution (including the US revolution) ever fought). Try googling "bleeding Kansas" for examples. Domestic terrorism has a long history in the US.
morriswalters wrote:wumpus wrote:morriswalters wrote: Prior to the end of the Civil War large conflicts were Army to Army.
While the armies in the US Civil War largely fought each other, there were certainly enough "civilian" attacks on one another (this is likely true for every civil war/revolution (including the US revolution) ever fought). Try googling "bleeding Kansas" for examples. Domestic terrorism has a long history in the US.
I was thinking more of foreign attacks on US soil on the lower 48. So now I'll clarify precisely. In the memory of no one now extant has the lower 48 been attacked by non US citizens by weapons capable of mass destruction which caused loss of life exceeding a thousand since give or take 1900 until 9/11. Does that limit it sufficiently? I now am feeling angst and despair.
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