Quick reread of D3 to see what else I've missed...
Discussion of mass claim looks fine. It was proposed by SirGabriel, so not scum-sided. As I said, I think it's a bit premature for everyone to claim, but I think the claims that have come out so far have been pretty helpful without giving away power roles.
Madge is looking pretty scummy today. I think I'd be happy with her lynch, except there's one specific thing that she commented on D2 that pretty strongly pointed to her being non-scum. SK is possible, I guess, though her complaining about being roleblocked feels genuine to me.
I don't like
this post by plytho at all. This sounds a lot like scumteams trying to coordinate. This post by Gopher on the same subject is
just as bad.
SDK's claim is fine.
Bard's claim looks okay. If he's town, no problem. If he's scum, I'm inclined to believe most of it on the grounds that this is a pretty damaging claim to make as scum, regardless of my alignment, and he'd obviously been planning to do this since the start of the game. Given that I'm town, I think it's most likely the case that Bard is as well--or, at least, non-scum... being lyncher for Gopher with this condition certainly seems plausible--but there is just enough wiggle room in his claim that he could be scum with me still being town without making this a virtually impossible-to-win role. He can still survive me and win the game as long as I'm nightkilled, but not lynched. It would a nasty role, but not manifestly unfair. Er, yeah, pretty much what Gopher said
here.
plytho's read on
Madge is quite good and mostly agrees with my thinking, save for the caveat noted above.
Bard finally posts some updated
reads. Scumpool is basically GoP + lurkers for him. Not really much analysis here... just reiterates some obvious things (SirGabriel, SDK, town, me confirmed to him, etc.) and puts lurkers as scum by process of elimination.
This post from Bard is 99% wine. I don't know why he even bothered.
Gopher of Pern wrote:In D1, there was really no clear reason to be sure of a second scum faction. Right now, we still don't know for sure there is one. Could still just be SK. I'm not convinced that Laserguy would have been lynched D1, as dethstalker was being very obstinate, I don't think your interjection made the difference.
At the time, I was looking at possibly votes from SDK, Znirk, YOLO, and BoomFrog, and was being read as fairly scummy by a couple other people. I'm not certain that it would have happened, but I think if SDK and BoomFrog had really started pushing for it, yeah, it probably would have gone through.
Madge continues to look scummy. Making a note to reread her in full.
Sabrar makes the
case for Bard lying under various circumstances. Sabrar seems to be of the opinion that this is at least somewhat likely (see
here), but most of the scenarios he paints are fairly high-risk, low-reward options.
dimochka
posts! Read of GoP feels kind of incomplete. Most of what dimochka mentions about GoP is basically D1 content. Doesn't really talk much about anything Gopher has done since. Read of Madge looks fine. He's promised more content. Hope he delivers, as he does have a tendency to make these sort of promises and then not follow through. Also curious about the night result he mentioned.
Right now, I think my preferred lynches are Madge, plytho, dimochka. I'm not too keen on Sabrar at the moment because he seems to be going out of his way to misrepresent me. Bard... I completely understand why people are finding him scummy. I don't love the idea with two kills against us, but I can see the value in a policy lynch on him to clear up some of the confusion.